Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 103.141652 117.657496 134.240669 154.753711 179.677658 209.281342 247.562848
2025-05-04 81.925672 99.937978 122.517490 153.503884 195.912689 253.484299 340.467318
2025-05-11 71.056349 90.549749 116.543163 154.883152 212.113998 298.234667 446.189627
2025-05-18 62.501519 82.223704 109.751747 152.652424 221.240347 333.614673 549.635403
2025-05-25 57.071054 77.176672 106.386416 154.215677 235.702405 380.601567 692.812008
2025-06-01 52.242051 72.251922 102.298334 153.591160 245.923874 422.623764 846.698305
2025-06-08 47.918972 67.518441 97.772215 151.284644 252.348023 458.972813 1008.047749
2025-06-15 45.775228 65.838540 97.775969 156.587932 274.029316 533.977176 1319.909066
2025-06-22 41.716147 60.722383 91.527315 149.628906 269.645497 548.804361 1467.457952
2025-06-29 39.226616 57.900111 88.811993 148.796568 277.869547 597.106496 1769.432820
2025-07-06 37.119284 55.510275 86.567399 148.493869 287.151156 651.827586 2155.121451
2025-07-13 36.221359 55.050309 87.646437 154.912591 313.454821 766.007137 2964.438611
2025-07-20 35.633023 55.241276 90.246074 165.678888 355.678243 961.492875 4715.863248
2025-07-27 33.525390 52.616431 87.358168 164.309834 366.693237 1062.303263 6233.545980
2025-08-03 31.976871 50.841939 85.880064 165.820503 386.296193 1211.808991 8916.721914
2025-08-10 30.171491 48.445163 82.916089 163.377465 393.728724 1318.393538 11900.017900
2025-08-17 28.954862 47.032697 81.766992 165.089387 414.747027 1509.094581 18199.713335
2025-08-24 27.624303 45.299828 79.780687 164.405413 427.991315 1676.823558 27079.095796
2025-08-31 26.249224 43.382055 77.225398 161.880049 434.357012 1816.149573 39189.887866
2025-09-07 25.681656 42.972422 77.816429 167.688272 472.998813 2212.633880 86747.544276
2025-09-14 24.094432 40.466360 73.657606 160.067939 458.550992 2223.797862 109303.140172
2025-09-21 23.140693 39.152812 72.006797 159.157224 470.575358 2461.147849 209454.420035
2025-09-28 22.299147 38.008449 70.631620 158.826060 485.141679 2750.852753 494957.201049